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AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction: Rossoneri Aim to Dominate at Home

The Serie A season heats up as AC Milan welcome Bologna to the iconic San Siro on Wednesday, October 28, 2026, at 17:30 UTC. This ninth-round fixture promises fireworks as the Rossoneri aim to maintain their strong form, while Bologna look to upset the odds and climb the table.

Form Guide

AC Milan come into this match in scintillating form, boasting a record of three wins and two draws in their last five Serie A outings. Stefano Pioli’s men have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding just one. Their defensive solidity coupled with attacking prowess makes them formidable opponents.

Bologna, on the other hand, have had a mixed run of results. With two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches, Thiago Motta’s side will need to be at their best to trouble Milan. Bologna’s attack has been inconsistent, scoring 1.2 goals per game, while their defence has been equally leaky, conceding the same number.

Head-to-Head

The recent history between these two sides has been a rollercoaster. Milan have dominated overall, including a commanding 3-0 victory in their last encounter in February 2026. However, Bologna have had their moments of glory, notably a 2-1 win at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara in February 2025. This fixture often delivers drama, and Wednesday’s clash is unlikely to be any different.

Team News & Injuries

Milan’s injury list is a cause for concern, with key players like Samuel Chukwueze, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and Adrien Rabiot sidelined. These absences could disrupt Pioli’s plans, particularly in midfield and attack. Defender Matteo Gabbia’s thigh injury further compounds their defensive woes.

Bologna are not without their own injury headaches. Striker Roberto Piccoli’s hamstring injury is a significant blow, while wingers Emil Holm and Riccardo Orsolini are also unavailable. These absences could hinder Bologna’s ability to pose a consistent threat on the counter.

The Odds

According to William Hill, AC Milan are clear favourites with odds of 1.67 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.70, while an unlikely Bologna victory stands at 4.60. These odds reflect Milan’s superior form and home advantage, but football is full of surprises.

Our Prediction

Given Milan’s dominant form and home record, we predict a 2-0 victory for the Rossoneri. Bologna’s injury woes and inconsistent performances suggest they will struggle to contain Milan’s attacking firepower. While surprises can happen, Milan’s 45% win probability and Bologna’s meagre 10% make the home side the safer bet. The San Siro crowd should be in for a treat as Milan aim to solidify their position at the top of Serie A.

Odds are informational, correct at time of publishing and subject to change. 18+, please gamble responsibly.