Analysis The numbers behind the result
Denmark's efficiency edges Wales despite possession disparity
Denmark's 1-0 victory was justified by their superior attacking efficiency despite Wales dominating 56% possession. The visitors generated a higher threat, with 10 shots inside the box to Wales' 4, and their penalty conversion (Rasmus Hojlund 75') proved decisive in a game where both sides registered just 3 shots on target each. Denmark's 13 total shots to Wales' 6, coupled with 3 blocks to Wales' 0, showed greater intent in the final third.
Wales struggled to turn possession into meaningful chances, mustering only 1 shot on target despite completing 481 accurate passes. Denmark's defensive discipline (just 9 fouls to Wales' 11) and ability to restrict Wales to low-quality attempts (0 shots blocked) underlined their control. Hojlund's penalty, coming after sustained Danish pressure in the second half, reflected the balance of clear chances as both teams' xG mirrored the actual scoreline.
The telling stat was Denmark's 10 shots inside the box - 2.5 times Wales' tally - showing their greater penetration despite having 12% less possession.