Match Centre

Sweden's 3-2 victory was deserved based on the balance of play, with their 2.32 xG outperforming Bosnia & Herzegovina's 1.16, reflecting greater efficiency in key moments. Despite having just 42% possession, the hosts created higher-quality chances, converting two penalties (11', 45+2') and an early opener from Svensson (5') from their 7 shots on target. Bosnia's 58% dominance in possession translated into more shots (16 to 13) but fewer on target (7) and a lower xG, highlighting Sweden's defensive resilience and Bosnia's wastefulness.

The game swung on Sweden's first-half ruthlessness, with Gyökeres' brace from the spot and Svensson's early strike putting them 3-0 up before Bosnia rallied through Gigovic (47') and Kolašinac (62'). Sweden's ability to absorb pressure (5 goalkeeper saves) and restrict Bosnia to low-xG efforts (1.16) proved decisive, while Bosnia's set-piece threat (7 corners to Sweden's 3) couldn't bridge the gap. The key stat: Sweden scored 3 from 2.32 xG, while Bosnia managed just 2 from 1.16, underlining the hosts' superior conversion when it mattered.