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UEFA Nations League · League B - 5
2–1
Full time

Analysis The numbers behind the result

Scotland dominate xG but rely on McGinn for narrow win

The result was justified on balance, with Scotland's 3.66 xG far surpassing FYR Macedonia's 0.31, reflecting their control of the game. Scotland's 54% possession translated into 18 total shots, six on target, while FYR Macedonia managed just seven shots, only two on target. Despite this dominance, Scotland relied on John McGinn, who scored twice (54', 74'), including a penalty, to secure the win. FYR Macedonia's Elmin Rastoder briefly leveled the score at 57', but their limited attacking output couldn't sustain a challenge.

Tactically, Scotland's 3-4-1-2 formation allowed them to overload midfield and create 16 shots inside the box compared to FYR Macedonia's four. Che Adams' assist for McGinn's opener was pivotal, while the penalty confirmed by VAR in the 72nd minute underscored Scotland's greater threat. FYR Macedonia's substitutions in the second half failed to shift momentum, as Scotland maintained their attacking intensity, evidenced by their nine corner kicks against FYR Macedonia's five.

The decisive stat was Scotland's 3.66 xG, highlighting their superiority in chance creation and execution. Despite occasional defensive lapses, their clinical edge in key moments ensured a deserved victory.

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Match Timeline

54'⚽John McGinn assist Che Adams
57'⚽Elmin Rastoder assist Enis Bardhi
64'🔁Hristijan Maleski out Darko Churlinov
64'🔁Agon Elezi out Matej Gashtarov
67'🔁Oliver McBurnie out Che Adams
74'⚽John McGinn
76'🔁Ryan Christie out Billy Gilmour
76'🔁Aaron Hickey out Ben Gannon-Doak
78'🔁Azer·Omeragic out Elmin Rastoder
78'🔁Luka Stankovski out Elif Elmas
85'🔁Boban Nikolov out Ljupche Doriev
89'🟨Lewis Ferguson

Formations

Scotland · 3-4-1-2FYR Macedonia · 4-2-3-1
1Gunn6Tierney18Graham5Porteous3Robertson8Gilmour19Ferguson17Doak7McGinn4McTominay10Adams23Dimitrievski8Alioski6Musliu4Mladenovski2Ilievski7Elmas15Gashtarov14Doriev10Bardhi11Churlinov9Rastoder

Team Stats

ScotlandFYR Macedonia

Possession

54%46%

Expected Goals (xG)

3.66xG0.31
18Shots7
6On target2
9Corners5
16Fouls11
375Accurate passes301
1Yellow cards0

Line-ups

Scotland3-4-1-2
Coach: Sébastien Pocognoli
  • 1A. Gunn
  • 5R. Porteous
  • 18L. Graham
  • 6K. Tierney
  • 17B. Doak
  • 19L. Ferguson
  • 8B. Gilmour
  • 3A. Robertson
  • 7J. McGinn
  • 10C. Adams
  • 4S. McTominay
Substitutes
  • Kristi Montgomery
  • O. McBurnie
  • N. Patterson
  • K. Bowie
  • L. Kelly
  • S. Bain
  • R. Christie
  • Findlay Curtis
  • J. Hendry
  • A. Hickey
  • J. Penrice
  • J. McPake
FYR Macedonia4-2-3-1
Coach: G. Sedloski
  • 23S. Dimitrievski
  • 2Bojan Ilievski
  • 4M. Mladenovski
  • 6V. Musliu
  • 8E. Alioski
  • 15M. Gashtarov
  • 7E. Elmas
  • 11D. Churlinov
  • 10E. Bardhi
  • 14L. Doriev
  • 9E. Rastoder
Substitutes
  • D. Taleski
  • Imran Fetai
  • M. Gjorgjievski
  • S. Herrera
  • H. Maleski
  • B. Nikolov
  • A. Omeragikj
  • D. Shishkovski
  • L. Stankovski
  • A. Elezi
  • Anes Meljichi
  • S. Despotovski
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