Analysis The numbers behind the result
Scotland dominate xG but rely on McGinn for narrow win
The result was justified on balance, with Scotland's 3.66 xG far surpassing FYR Macedonia's 0.31, reflecting their control of the game. Scotland's 54% possession translated into 18 total shots, six on target, while FYR Macedonia managed just seven shots, only two on target. Despite this dominance, Scotland relied on John McGinn, who scored twice (54', 74'), including a penalty, to secure the win. FYR Macedonia's Elmin Rastoder briefly leveled the score at 57', but their limited attacking output couldn't sustain a challenge.
Tactically, Scotland's 3-4-1-2 formation allowed them to overload midfield and create 16 shots inside the box compared to FYR Macedonia's four. Che Adams' assist for McGinn's opener was pivotal, while the penalty confirmed by VAR in the 72nd minute underscored Scotland's greater threat. FYR Macedonia's substitutions in the second half failed to shift momentum, as Scotland maintained their attacking intensity, evidenced by their nine corner kicks against FYR Macedonia's five.
The decisive stat was Scotland's 3.66 xG, highlighting their superiority in chance creation and execution. Despite occasional defensive lapses, their clinical edge in key moments ensured a deserved victory.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 1A. Gunn
- 5R. Porteous
- 18L. Graham
- 6K. Tierney
- 17B. Doak
- 19L. Ferguson
- 8B. Gilmour
- 3A. Robertson
- 7J. McGinn
- 10C. Adams
- 4S. McTominay
- Kristi Montgomery
- O. McBurnie
- N. Patterson
- K. Bowie
- L. Kelly
- S. Bain
- R. Christie
- Findlay Curtis
- J. Hendry
- A. Hickey
- J. Penrice
- J. McPake
- 23S. Dimitrievski
- 2Bojan Ilievski
- 4M. Mladenovski
- 6V. Musliu
- 8E. Alioski
- 15M. Gashtarov
- 7E. Elmas
- 11D. Churlinov
- 10E. Bardhi
- 14L. Doriev
- 9E. Rastoder
- D. Taleski
- Imran Fetai
- M. Gjorgjievski
- S. Herrera
- H. Maleski
- B. Nikolov
- A. Omeragikj
- D. Shishkovski
- L. Stankovski
- A. Elezi
- Anes Meljichi
- S. Despotovski

