Analysis The numbers behind the result
Freiburg edge high-event game despite Jablonec's late resistance
Freiburg's 3-2 victory slightly overperformed their 1.87 xG, but their dominance in chance creation (23 shots to Jablonec's 11) justified the result. Vincenzo Grifo's early opener (15') set the tone, though Jablonec equalised clinically through Antonín Rusek (28') with their only first-half shot on target. The momentum shifted decisively after halftime: Jablonec's own goal (53') and Maximilian Eggestein's strike (65', assisted by Kübler) came during Freiburg's most dominant period (60% possession, 92% pass accuracy).
Despite conceding 72% of possession, Jablonec stayed competitive through efficient finishing (2 goals from 1.18 xG), including a late consolation from Garang Kuol (90+3'). Freiburg's superior shot volume (9 on target vs Jablonec's 2) and box penetration (14 shots inside the area) told the story, though their goalkeeper's -1.19 goals prevented rating highlighted defensive vulnerabilities. The decisive stat? Freiburg's 8 blocked shots - a testament to both their attacking intent and Jablonec's desperate defending.