Analysis The numbers behind the result
Clinical Madrid punish Leipzig with superior shot quality
Real Madrid's 4-1 victory was fully deserved, outperforming RB Leipzig both in expected goals (3.13 vs 1.51) and shot efficiency (11 shots on target from 18 attempts, compared to Leipzig's 6 from 11). Their 65% possession translated into superior chance creation – 13 shots inside the box to Leipzig's 10 – with Bernardo Silva's opener (43') and Arda Güler's strike (52') effectively killing the game before half-time.
Madrid's attacking trio proved decisive: Güler (1 goal, 1.07 xG), Mbappé (1 goal, 0.78 xG participation in two goals including Diomande's late strike (87'), and the assist for Güler), while Leipzig's Gomis consolation (85') came too late despite his 0.42 xG contribution. The key differentiating stat was shot conversion – Madrid scored from 22% of their attempts to Leipzig's 9% – showcasing their superior finishing despite Leipzig actually registering a higher xG per shot (0.14 vs 0.13).