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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
1–4
Full time

Analysis The numbers behind the result

Benfica dominate xG to outclass Omonia Nicosia

Benfica's 4-1 victory was fully deserved, with their expected goals (xG) of 3.08 dwarfing Omonia Nicosia's 0.91. Despite dominating possession (64% to 36%), Benfica’s superiority was more evident in their shot quality, recording 23 total shots (14 inside the box) compared to Omonia’s 7 (5 inside the box). Benfica’s clinical edge was further highlighted by converting 4 of their 10 shots on target, while Omonia managed just one goal from 5 on target.

The game turned decisively in Benfica’s favour after an early own goal by Loïc Nego (14’), which was swiftly followed by Vangelis Pavlidis’ strike (49’). Fredrik Aursnes (76’) and Gianluca Prestianni (85’) sealed the win late on, showcasing Benfica’s depth and ability to capitalise on chances. Omonia’s sole goal came from Andronikos Kakoullis (42’), but they struggled to match Benfica’s offensive output, with only 4 corners and 2 blocked shots highlighting their lack of threat.

The key stat that explains the outcome is Benfica’s xG (3.08), which underscores their dominance in creating high-quality chances compared to Omonia’s 0.91, reflecting a clear gulf in attacking efficiency.

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