Analysis The numbers behind the result
Jagiellonia clinical despite possession deficit
Jagiellonia's 3-1 win was deserved on xG (1.57 vs 0.99), showcasing efficiency despite ceding 58% possession to Ararat-Armenia. The hosts converted 3 of 5 shots on target (60% conversion rate), including quickfire goals from Kamil Jóźwiak (13') and Rodrigo Conceição (38') either side of Zidane Banjaqui's early strike (11'). Ousmane Sow's 51st-minute clincher, assisted by Jesús Imaz, sealed it after Ararat-Armenia failed to turn territorial dominance (15 total shots) into high-quality chances (0.99 xG).
Ararat-Armenia's 3-4-3 generated volume (7 shots inside box, 8 outside) but lacked precision (4 on target). Jagiellonia's compact 4-4-2 restricted them to 0.07 xG per shot, while their own attacks yielded 0.12 xG per attempt. The decisive gap came in defensive contributions: Ararat-Armenia's 2 saves and 4 blocked shots were eclipsed by Jagiellonia's 3 saves and 3 blocks. The killer stat? Jagiellonia scored every 0.81 xG generated; Ararat-Armenia needed 0.99 xG per goal.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 50S. Abramowicz
- 27Rodrigo Conceição
- 5Bernardo Vital
- 4Y. Kobayashi
- 20B. Wdowik
- 72K. Jóźwiak
- 6T. Romanczuk
- 19A. Klynge
- 7K. Szmyt
- 11Jesús Imaz
- 30O. Sow
- J. Agbonifo
- A. Ćirković
- H. Finndell
- A. Konstantopoulos
- Sergio Lozano
- Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
- M. Perchel
- D. Stojinović
- Eryk Kozlowski
- 98João Bravim
- 43Bruno Wilson
- 17M. Carlier
- 5Luís Felipe
- 2Hugo Oliveira
- 8J. Balanta
- 20A. Tera
- 16E. Grigoryan
- 77A. Serobyan
- 91Sandro Lima
- 11Zidane Banjaqui
- A. Ambartsumyan
- Z. Shaghoyan
- Bruno Pereira
- A. Ndour
- K. Muradyan
- A. Malis
- França
- A. Eloyan
- Bernardo Oliveira Dias
- A. Nersesyan

