Analysis The numbers behind the result
Anderlecht clinical in xG underperformance despite dominance
Anderlecht's 3-0 victory flattered their performance by xG (1.06), while Jagiellonia were punished for wastefulness with just 0.29 xG from 6 shots. The visitors’ 59% possession yielded 15 shots (8 on target) to Jagiellonia’s 6 (1 on target), though both sides earned 4 corners. Mihajlo Cvetkovic’s 21st-minute opener gave Anderlecht control before Enric Llansana’s two assists (72’, 80’) for Marten Winkler and Jayden Onia-Seke killed the game.
Tactically, Anderlecht’s midfield supremacy (512 passes to 360) created higher-quality chances (9 shots inside the box vs Jagiellonia’s 3), despite only marginally outperforming their xG. Jagiellonia’s 3 yellow cards reflected their struggle to contain Anderlecht’s wide threat, with 41% possession failing to translate into meaningful pressure: just 1 shot on target from 6 attempts. The decisive stat: Anderlecht’s 8 shots on target to Jagiellonia’s 1, underlining the hosts’ lack of cutting edge.