Analysis The numbers behind the result
Ukraine edge Hungary despite hosts' possession dominance
Ukraine's 1-0 victory was narrowly deserved, with the visitors marginally outperforming Hungary's 1.1 xG with 1.3 xG (per Opta's model) despite having just 43% possession. The decisive moment came in the 42nd minute when Danylo Sikan converted Heorhii Sudakov's assist - Ukraine's only shot on target of the first half from their 3 total attempts.
Hungary dominated territorially (57% possession, 17 total shots to Ukraine's 10) but only tested the goalkeeper with 4 of their 12 shots inside the box. The hosts' 4 corners to Ukraine's 2 further highlighted their territorial advantage, but lacked the cutting edge shown by Sikan's clinical finish. Ukraine's more compact defensive shape (10 blocked shots to Hungary's 6) proved decisive in protecting their lead, even after Oleksandr Nazarenko's 92nd minute red card.
The telling stat: Hungary's 4 shots on target from 17 attempts (23.5% accuracy) compared to Ukraine's 3 from 10 (30%), demonstrating the visitors' superior efficiency in the final third.