Analysis The numbers behind the result
Greece defy odds with disciplined defensive display
The 1-0 scoreline flattered Germany despite their dominance in possession (76%) and shots (16 to 8), as Greece executed a disciplined defensive performance to secure an unlikely victory. Germany’s inability to convert their chances was glaring, with just 5 shots on target from 16 attempts, yielding a total xG that likely exceeded their final output. Greece, by contrast, were clinical, scoring from their only shot on target through Dimitrios Kourbelis in the 74th minute. Their defensive structure frustrated Germany, who struggled to create clear-cut chances despite their overwhelming control of the ball.
Tactically, Greece’s compact 4-4-2 formation stifled Germany’s creativity, forcing them into speculative efforts from outside the box (8 shots). Germany’s wide players, Kevin Schade and Karim Adeyemi, failed to deliver decisive contributions, while Greece’s goalkeeper, Kostas Tzolakis, made 5 crucial saves to keep his side in the game. Germany’s 8 corners and 12 fouls highlighted their desperation, but Greece’s resolute defending and tactical discipline proved the decisive factor.
The key stat explaining this result is Greece’s shot efficiency: 1 goal from just 1 shot on target, compared to Germany’s 5 on target from 16 attempts. Greece’s ability to withstand pressure and capitalise on their lone opportunity ultimately defined the match.
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