Analysis The numbers behind the result
Denmark dominate possession and chances to deservedly beat Wales
Denmark's 2-0 victory over Wales was fully deserved based on the balance of play, with the hosts posting 2.0 xG to Wales' 0.8, reflecting their superior chance creation. The Danes controlled 62% possession and outshot Wales 20-10, with 12 of those attempts coming inside the box compared to Wales' 5. Despite an early disallowed goal for Gustav Isaksen (24'), Denmark's pressure told via Ben Davies' own goal (53') and Isaksen's strike (66'), capitalising on their territorial dominance.
The key tactical story was Denmark's ability to translate possession into high-quality chances, with their 4 shots on target coming from an xG of 2.0, showing clinical finishing. Wales, by contrast, managed just 3 shots on target from an xG of 0.8, with only 33% of their total shots testing the keeper. Denmark's midfield control, evidenced by their 516 accurate passes (vs Wales' 297), allowed them to sustain attacks, while Wales' 2 yellow cards (Mepham 48', Johnson 65') highlighted their defensive struggles.
The decisive stat was Denmark's 12 shots inside the box to Wales' 5, underlining their superior penetration and explaining why they created double the xG of their opponents.