Analysis The numbers behind the result
CSKA Sofia edge Qarabag in penalty shootout despite fewer shots
The penalty shootout victory for CSKA Sofia was a narrow escape given Qarabag's superior statistical dominance during regular play. The visitors held 58% possession and outshot Sofia 9 to 3 in shots on target, with 10 corners to Sofia's 2, suggesting they created more dangerous opportunities. However, neither side could break the deadlock in open play, forcing the match to penalties where CSKA converted all 5 attempts (Pittas 120+1', Ivanov 120+2', Gbamin 120+3', Sensi 120+4', Eto'o 120+5') while Qarabag missed one (Matheus Silva 120+2').
Qarabag's higher shot volume (5 on target, 7 blocked) and territorial advantage (10 corners) indicate they were the more proactive side, but CSKA's disciplined defensive shape – evidenced by 26 fouls and 6 yellow cards – disrupted their rhythm. The shootout ultimately hinged on CSKA's clinical finishing from the spot, with all five takers scoring, while Silva's miss proved decisive. The key stat: Qarabag's 7 blocked shots to CSKA's 3, highlighting their inability to convert dominance into clear chances.