Analysis The numbers behind the result
Celtic clinically punish Beşiktaş’s missed chances
Celtics's 3-2 win slightly flatters them, as Beşiktaş generated a higher expected goals (1.62 vs 1.23) and dominated possession (62% vs 38%), but Celtic's greater efficiency in front of goal proved decisive. Despite having fewer total shots (10 vs 15) and fewer shots on target (6 vs 4), Celtic converted key moments: Camilo Duran's brace (78', 87') and Callum Osmand's strike (62') swung the game. Beşiktaş wasted opportunities, notably Junior Olaitan's missed penalty in the 54th minute, which could have altered the momentum.
Beşiktaş's higher xG reflects their ability to create quality chances, with more shots inside the box (7 vs 4) and more corners (7 vs 5), but they lacked the composure to finish. Celtic, meanwhile, made fewer passes (373 vs 598) but were more clinical, particularly through Duran, who capitalized on Osmand's assist for the winner. Beşiktaş's late goal from Orkun Kökçü (85') was too little, too late, as Celtic's defense held firm despite pressure.
The decisive stat is the penalty miss: Olaitan's failure to convert in the 54th minute encapsulates Beşiktaş's inability to capitalize on their dominance.