Analysis The numbers behind the result
Sluggish Bosnia salvaged by Alajbegovic's late strike
Bosnia & Herzegovina's 1-1 draw with Sweden was a fair result on the balance of play, though the hosts needed a late intervention to salvage parity. Sweden's superior possession (56%) and total shots (8 vs 4) reflected their greater attacking intent, with Viktor Gyökeres clinical finish in the 61st minute capping a spell of dominance marked by 6 shots inside the box. Bosnia, by contrast, managed just 4 total shots, though their equaliser showcased individual quality as Kerim Alajbegovic struck clinically from inside the area in the 80th minute.
Tactically, Sweden's transition play proved effective, creating multiple dangerous situations behind Bosnia's midfield — Gyökeres' disallowed goal in the 18th minute was a warning sign. Bosnia struggled to progress the ball, completing just 389 of their 469 passes (83% accuracy), and their 44% possession rarely translated into sustained pressure. However, their ability to convert one of their two shots on target — both inside the box — proved decisive. The xG data, untracked in this match, likely favoured Sweden given their dominance, but Alajbegovic's composure denied them victory. The stat that best explains the result? Bosnia's 50% shot conversion rate — a rare efficiency that masked an otherwise underwhelming performance.

