Analysis The numbers behind the result
Atletico Paranaense dominates territory and chances but Atletico-MG salvages draw with numerical disadvantage
A 2–2 draw that flattered the visitors. Atletico Paranaense's 51% possession and 31 total shots to Atletico-MG's 15 told the story of territorial control; more telling was the 10 shots on goal versus 9, a marginal edge that masked a far wider gap in volume and quality. Paranaense's 17 shots from inside the box—double Atletico-MG's seven—revealed where the contest was genuinely won: the home side created and wasted far more presentable opportunities. Kerwin Vargas broke the deadlock on 8 minutes with an assist from Gilberto, and Kevin Viveros restored Paranaense's lead in the 90th minute, yet the scoreline does not reflect their superiority in chance creation or territory.
Atletico-MG's path to a point was built on clinical finishing and defensive resilience under extreme duress. Bernard Aníçio equalised on 27 minutes unaided, but the visitors' momentum collapsed when Tomás Pérez received a red card on 73 minutes. Playing with ten men from that juncture, Atletico-MG conceded Kevin Viveros's 90th-minute strike yet snatched an improbable 2–2 through Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović in the 90+7th minute—Thiago Borbas providing the assist. A cancelled VAR goal for Claudinho (64 minutes) robbed Paranaense of a third, compounding their failure to convert dominance into victory.
The single statistic that defined this match: Atletico Paranaense attempted 10 corners to Atletico-MG's 4. Set-piece dominance and half the opponent's shot count could not overcome clinical finishing from a side reduced to ten men.