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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4

Analysis The numbers behind the result

Bayern's superior shot quality justifies narrow but deserved win

Bayern Munich's 2-0 victory was tighter than the scoreline suggests but ultimately deserved, outperforming Atletico Madrid 1.79 xG to 0.87. The visitors' superior shot quality told the story – while Atletico managed just 3 shots on target from 9 attempts, Bayern tested Jan Oblak 5 times from 19 shots, with 10 coming from dangerous areas outside the box. Despite holding only 58% possession, Bayern turned dominance into clearer chances.

Lennart Karl's 54th-minute opener and Konrad Laimer's 74th-minute strike (assisted by Harry Kane) came during a clinical 20-minute spell where Bayern converted their xG advantage. Atletico's 42% possession yielded just 6 shots inside the box, with substitutions failing to spark a response. The key differential was Bayern's ability to create higher-value chances – their 19 total shots included 10 from outside the box (4 blocked) compared to Atletico's 3, demonstrating superior territorial control.

The decisive stat was Bayern's +0.92 xG overperformance – scoring twice from 1.79 xG while Atletico failed to convert their 0.87. In a game of fine margins, Bayern's superior shot locations and Kane's creative influence (1 key assist) proved the difference.

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Match Timeline

54'⚽Lennart Karl
56'🟨Joshua Kimmich
59'🔁Lee Kang-In out Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
59'🔁Koke out Robin Le Normand
59'🔁Ademola Lookman out Alexander Sørloth
68'🔁Nathaniel Brown out Lennart Karl
74'⚽Konrad Laimer assist Harry Kane
75'🔁Rodrigo Mendoza out Pablo Barrios Rivas
75'🔁Jonathan David out Julián Álvarez
79'🔁Kim Min-Jae out Alphonso Davies
79'🟨Giuliano Simeone Baldini
89'🔁Sacha Boey out Konrad Laimer
90+1'🟨Josip Stanišić

Formations

Atletico Madrid · 4-4-2Bayern München · 4-2-3-1
13Oblak22Grimaldo17Hancko24Normand18Pubill10Baena14Llorente8Barrios20Simeone19Álvarez9Sørloth1Neuer44Stanišić4Tah2Upamecano27Laimer8Bischof6Kimmich19Davies42Karl17Olise9Kane

Team Stats

Atletico MadridBayern München

Possession

42%58%

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87xG1.79
9Shots19
3On target5
4Corners4
13Fouls3
363Accurate passes568
1Yellow cards2

Line-ups

Atletico Madrid4-4-2
Coach: D. Simeone
  • 13J. Oblak
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 17D. Hancko
  • 22Álex Grimaldo
  • 20G. Simeone
  • 8Pablo Barrios
  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 10Álex Baena
  • 9A. Sørloth
  • 19J. Álvarez
Substitutes
  • J. Castillo
  • J. David
  • J. Dominguez
  • R. Hueso
  • Koke
  • Lee Kang-In
  • A. Lookman
  • Rodrigo Mendoza
  • J. Musso
  • Arnau Ortiz
  • O. Vargas
  • Dani Martínez
Bayern München4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Kompany
  • 1M. Neuer
  • 27K. Laimer
  • 2D. Upamecano
  • 4J. Tah
  • 44J. Stanišić
  • 6J. Kimmich
  • 8T. Bischof
  • 17M. Olise
  • 42L. Karl
  • 19A. Davies
  • 9H. Kane
Substitutes
  • J. Urbig
  • S. Ulreich
  • A. Pavlović
  • Kim Min-Jae
  • H. Ito
  • David Daiber
  • N. Brown
  • S. Boey
  • T. Binder
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