Analysis The numbers behind the result
Milan defy xG deficit with clinical derby finishing
Milan's 3-1 victory flattered their performance, with Inter generating a superior xG (1.84 vs 0.74) and dominating possession (57%). The Rossoneri were ruthlessly efficient, converting 3 of their 4 shots on target (75% conversion rate vs Inter's 12.5%) despite taking just 7 total shots (vs Inter's 19). Diego Moreira starred with a goal and two early assists in the first half (2', 10', 22'), exploiting Inter's defensive frailty down Milan's right flank as Bastoni's goal proved a mere consolation.
Inter's higher corner count (11 vs 3) and shots inside the box (13 vs 4) highlighted their territorial dominance, but Milan's early clinical edge proved decisive. Mike Maignan's 7 saves versus Josep Martínez's 1 was the statistical fulcrum - Milan's goalkeeper outperformed his xG faced by 0.84 goals, while Inter's shot-stopper underperformed by 2.26 goals.