Croatia vs England Prediction: Three Lions Eye Redemption

The UEFA Nations League reaches fever pitch on Saturday, October 3, 2026 as Croatia welcome England to Zagreb in a blockbuster League A – 3 clash kicking off at 16:00 UTC. With both sides locked in a fierce rivalry dating back to their 2018 World Cup semi-final, this high-stakes encounter promises fireworks.

Form Guide

Croatia head into this clash with mixed form, having won one and lost one of their last two matches. The Vatreni have averaged 1.5 goals per game in this period but have been leaky at the back, conceding 2.5 goals on average. England, meanwhile, have mirrored Croatia’s recent record with a win and a defeat last time out. The Three Lions have been more clinical in attack, scoring 2.0 goals per game, while boasting a tighter defence shipping 1.5 goals on average.

Head-to-Head

This fixture is steeped in drama and history. Croatia stunned England in the 2018 World Cup semi-final, winning 2-1 in extra time. Since then, England have gained revenge with three consecutive victories, including a 4-2 drubbing in June 2026. The Three Lions have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, with Croatia claiming just 1 victory and 1 draw. History firmly favours England in this rivalry.

Team News & Injuries

Both teams appear to have full squads available with no reported injuries. Croatia will lean on ageing stars like Luka Modric one last time, while England boast a dazzling array of attacking talent led by Jude Bellingham and Phil Foden. Expect fireworks when these two collide!

The Odds

William Hill makes England strong favourites at 1.75 to win. Croatia are the underdogs at 4.00, while the draw is priced at 3.60. England’s superior recent form and head-to-head dominance has punters siding with the Three Lions.

Our Prediction

We predict a narrow 2-1 victory for England. The Three Lions have a 45% win probability compared to Croatia’s 10%, reflecting their superior form and recent dominance in this fixture. While Croatia will put up a fight in front of their passionate home fans, England’s attacking quality should prove decisive. With both sides in mixed form, expect goals galore in this Nations League thriller. All roads lead to Zagreb – don’t miss this heavyweight clash!