Analysis The numbers behind the result
Excelsior clinical despite Willem II's possession dominance
Excelsior's 3-0 victory starkly contrasted Willem II's 59% possession, with the away side converting three of their six shots on target (50% conversion rate) compared to Willem II's wasteful two on target from 16 attempts (12.5%). The early goal from David Min (8') set the tone, with Rick Meissen (34') and Irakli Yegoian (85') capitalising on Excelsior's efficiency in transition against a side that managed just 2 shots on target despite 16 total attempts.
Willem II’s possession-heavy approach (508 total passes to Excelsior's 367) failed to translate into high-quality chances, with only 11 of their 16 shots coming inside the box – Excelsior blocked 7 of these. The hosts also won more corners (7 vs 6) but lacked cutting edge, while Excelsior’s defensive block (5-4-1) effectively limited clear chances. The key stat: Excelsior scored 3 goals from just 1.2 expected goals (xG), showcasing ruthless finishing.
Excelsior's win was built on defensive resilience and clinical countering, with Yegoian's late goal (assisted by goalkeeper Stijn van Gassel) epitomising their efficiency. Willem II’s 2.1 xG underperformed by two goals, highlighting their profligacy in front of goal as the decisive factor.