Analysis The numbers behind the result
Bahia's clinical finishing and superior xG justify victory
Bahia's 2-0 win was fully deserved, with their superior expected goals (3.96 vs Vitoria's 0.46) reflecting a dominant attacking performance. Despite only marginally higher possession (53% vs 47%), Bahia created significantly higher-quality chances, landing 9 shots on target from 28 total attempts compared to Vitoria's 2 on target from 14.
The decisive moments came in the second half, with Alejo Veliz opening the scoring in the 67th minute (assisted by Erick Pulga) before Jean Lucas sealed it deep in stoppage time (90+7', assisted by Michel Araujo). Bahia's efficiency in the box was key — 17 of their 28 shots came from inside the area, generating an xG per shot of 0.14 versus Vitoria's 0.03. Vitoria's 7 corners yielded little threat, summing up their blunt attacking display.
The standout stat: Bahia's 3.96 xG — nearly four times Vitoria's output — shows this was a comprehensive victory built on chance creation, not luck.