Analysis The numbers behind the result
Marino Hinestroza's late double rescues Vasco
Vasco DA Gama deserved their 3-2 victory over Corinthians, with their 1.79 expected goals (xG) trumping Corinthians' 0.77 xG. Vasco dominated possession (63%) and created far more chances, firing 25 shots (8 on target) compared to Corinthians' 12 shots (4 on target). They also tested the goalkeeper 5 times more than Corinthians, reflecting their superiority in attack.
Corinthians initially capitalised on Vasco's missed opportunities, with Gustavo Henrique (50') and Matheus Bidu (57') turning the game around after José Luis Rodríguez's opener (35'). However, Marino Hinestroza emerged as the decisive figure, scoring twice in the final minutes (88', 90+2') to snatch the win. Vasco's persistence in the final third, evidenced by their 18 shots inside the box, ultimately paid off.
The key stat was Vasco's shot volume: their 25 total shots, including 8 on target, overwhelmed Corinthians' defence and underlined their attacking dominance.