Analysis The numbers behind the result
Milan edge Torino with superior shot volume and xG
AC Milan's 2-1 victory was justified by their dominance in both shot volume and expected goals (1.61 xG vs Torino's 1.01), though the hosts' late consolation made the scoreline appear tighter than the balance of play. The Rossoneri's 59% possession translated into 19 total shots (4 on target) compared to Torino's 8 (1 on target), with all 19 of Milan's attempts coming inside the box — a telling indicator of their control in advanced areas. Adrien Rabiot was pivotal, assisting Alphadjo Cissé's opener (64') before scoring himself two minutes later, both from high-percentage situations.
Torino's 41% possession yielded just one shot on target — Tyler Adams' 93rd-minute strike assisted by Gvidas Gineitis — but their xG of 1.01 suggests they created half-chances without truly testing Mike Maignan. The decisive stat was Milan's 19 shots inside the box to Torino's 7, underlining their superior ability to penetrate the final third despite only marginally outperforming their xG (2 goals from 1.61 xG).