Analysis The numbers behind the result
Toluca's dominant possession and shot volume justify comfortable win
Toluca's 3-1 victory was a fair reflection of their dominance, underscored by a 77% possession advantage and 23 total shots (7 on target) to Necaxa's 7 (3 on target). The hosts' relentless pressure told just before half-time when Edgar López (29') and Everardo Lopez (45+5') turned the game around after Julián Carranza's 42nd-minute equalizer, with Necaxa's discipline collapsing as Carranza was sent off in first-half stoppage time.
Necaxa's 23% possession was the lowest possible platform for creating chances – they managed just 4 shots inside the box all game, and their goal came against the run of play. Toluca's 14 shots inside the area and 5 corners highlighted their territorial dominance, with López (1 goal, 1 assist) the key creative spark. The killer blow was Luis Jiménez's 57th-minute own goal, compounding Necaxa's misery after their red card.
The deciding factor was Toluca's 634 accurate passes (triple Necaxa's 153) – a midfield stranglehold that generated 23 shots to just 7.