Analysis The numbers behind the result
Middlesbrough's superior xG justifies narrow away win
Middlesbrough deserved their 3-2 victory at Stoke, with their 2.63 xG far exceeding Stoke's 0.74, reflecting their dominance in chance creation. Despite Stoke's late rally, Boro's 66% possession translated into 20 shots (9 on target) compared to Stoke's 8 (1 on target), underlining their control and superior offensive output. Callum Brittain's 48th-minute opener and Will Lankshear's 73rd-minute strike were the decisive contributions, with Stoke's goals coming via an own goal and a late Róbert Boženík consolation.
The key divergence was clinical finishing: Middlesbrough converted 3 of their 9 on-target efforts (33% conversion rate), while Stoke relied on defensive errors and managed just 1 shot on goal all game. Boro's 16 shots inside the box to Stoke's 5 further emphasised their territorial control. The defining stat was Middlesbrough's 2.63 xG – their ability to create higher-quality chances ultimately separated the sides.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 1V. Johansson
- 2B. Johnson
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 22J. Tchamadeu
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 8E. Galbraith
- 17E. Bocat
- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 10Bae Jun-Ho
- L. Bombino
- R. Boženík
- J. Devenny
- B. Gibson
- J. Griffiths
- G. Hirst
- B. Lawal
- M. Manhoef
- B. Pearson
- 1R. Vítek
- 12L. Ayling
- 4A. Phillips
- 29A. Malanda
- 2C. Brittain
- 6S. Berhalter
- 10A. Morris
- 30Neto Borges
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 16J. Sarmiento
- 7W. Lankshear
- R. McGree
- K. Joseph
- T. Conway
- Leo Castledine
- S. Byram
- S. Brynn
- C. Barron
- M. Arfsten
- M. Peart-Harris

