Analysis The numbers behind the result
Argentinos JRS edge five-goal thriller despite near-identical xG
The 3-2 scoreline slightly flattered Argentinos JRS, with both teams posting almost identical expected goals (1.37 vs 1.34). Sarmiento Junin created more shots (12 to 13) and corners (7 to 2), but Argentinos converted their chances more clinically — scoring three from five shots on target compared to Sarmiento's two from three. The visitors' superior pass accuracy (83% vs 74%) in their 55% possession helped sustain pressure.
Key moments decided it: Marabel's 30th-minute opener for Sarmiento was cancelled out by Lescano (48') and Prieto (58') turning the game, before Orihuela's 69th-minute equaliser was undone by Porcel's 90th-minute winner. Argentinos' six yellow cards and Porcel's red showed their aggressive approach, while Sarmiento's -1.02 goals prevented suggests goalkeeping errors cost them.
The decisive stat? Argentinos' 60% shot conversion rate inside the box (3 goals from 5 shots) compared to Sarmiento's 33% (2 from 6) — clinical finishing made the difference.