Analysis The numbers behind the result
Sao Paulo edge tight game despite Bragantino's possession dominance
Sao Paulo's 2-1 victory was deserved based on the balance of chances, outperforming Bragantino in expected goals (1.33 vs 0.57) despite holding just 38% possession. The hosts were more incisive where it counted, with 10 shots inside the box (vs Bragantino's 2) and 16 total attempts (vs 8). Luciano's 14th-minute penalty set the tone before Gustavo Santana doubled the lead in first-half stoppage time – the two crucial goals coming from Sao Paulo's only two shots on target in the opening 45 minutes.
Bragantino dominated the ball (62% possession, 83% pass accuracy) but lacked cutting edge, with six of their eight shots coming from outside the box. Their late consolation came from their only first-time shot on target, with Fernando Santos converting in the 90th minute. The key differential was Sao Paulo's ability to create higher-quality chances, reflected in their +0.76 xG advantage and nine corners (vs Bragantino's seven) that ensured sustained pressure.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 23Rafael
- 22Domingos Duarte
- 5Robert Arboleda
- 35Sabino
- 20Aurélio Buta
- 94Danielzinho
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 12Iago Borduchi
- 37Artur
- 43Gustavo Santana
- 10Luciano
- André Silva
- Carlos Coronel
- Lucas Ramon
- Luis Osorio
- Wendell
- Rafael Tolói
- Pablo Maia
- Ferreirinha
- Tetê
- Djhordney Ferreira
- Cauly
- Jonathan Calleri
- 18Tiago Volpi
- 23Agustin Sant Anna
- 14Pedro Henrique
- 16Gustavo Marques
- 29Juninho Capixaba
- 7Eric Ramires
- 20Rodriguinho
- 32José Herrera
- 21Lucas Barbosa
- 17Vinicinho
- 9Isidro Pitta
- Fabinho
- Fernando
- Cleiton
- Cauê Nascimento
- Alix Vinicius
- Guzmán Rodríguez
- José Andrés Hurtado
- Gabriel Girotto
- Yuri Alves de Aquino
- Gustavo Neves
- Henry Mosquera
- Matheus Fernandes

