Analysis The numbers behind the result
San Lorenzo edge tight contest with superior shot quality
San Lorenzo's narrow 1-0 victory was a fair reflection of a closely matched encounter, with their marginally higher xG (1.04 vs 0.93) justifying the single-goal margin. Despite near-identical shot volumes (13 each), the hosts created better opportunities — evidenced by their 5 shots on target to Gimnasia's 3, and 7 shots inside the box versus 10, suggesting more dangerous positioning.
The decisive moment came in the 86th minute when Rodrigo Auzmendi converted Gonzalo Rodriguez's assist, capitalising on San Lorenzo's slightly more incisive build-up play (82% pass accuracy vs 83%, but with 25 more attempted passes). Gimnasia's discipline faltered as they collected four yellow cards, disrupting their rhythm in a game where possession was evenly split (51%-49%).
The key differential was San Lorenzo's ability to turn half-chances into shots on target — their 38% shot accuracy (5/13) outperformed Gimnasia's 23% (3/13), proving crucial in a match where both goalkeepers made three saves apiece.