Analysis The numbers behind the result
Rosario wasteful in possession as Gimnasia edge xG
The result slightly flattered Gimnasia, but Rosario Central's inability to convert dominance into clear chances proved decisive. Rosario held 68% possession and registered 14 shots (7 on target) compared to Gimnasia's 11 (3 on target), but Gimnasia edged the xG battle 0.38 to 0.58, reflecting Rosario's lack of quality in the final third. Despite their territorial superiority, Rosario struggled to break down a resolute Gimnasia defence, with only 11 of their 14 shots coming from inside the box.
The game turned on a 59th-minute own goal by Rosario's Ledesma, which gave Gimnasia an undeserved lead. Rosario responded brightly, with Campaz levelling in the 86th minute after a smart assist from substitute Badaloni. However, Miramon's late strike for Gimnasia in the 88th minute, their first shot on target since the 59th-minute opener, proved decisive. Gimnasia's clinical edge in key moments, despite Rosario's dominance, was the defining factor. Rosario's 10 corners to Gimnasia's 3 further highlighted their territorial advantage, but Gimnasia's ability to defend their box and capitalise on errors ultimately made the difference.