Analysis The numbers behind the result
Bragantino's dominance rewarded with late winner
RB Bragantino's 1-0 victory over Gremio was fully deserved based on the balance of play, with the home side generating a significantly higher xG (2.76 vs 0.53) and peppering Gremio's goal with 27 total shots (4 on target) compared to just 14 (1 on target) from the visitors. Despite Bragantino's 54% possession translating into sustained pressure, they were frustrated until Gustavo Marques' 95th-minute winner, assisted by Gustavo Neves.
The numbers tell a story of Bragantino's attacking persistence against Gremio's defensive resilience. The hosts fired 12 shots off target and had another 11 blocked, while Gremio's goalkeeper Weverton made just 2 saves. Bragantino's 8 corners to Gremio's 5 further underlined their territorial dominance. Ultimately, the decisive stat was Bragantino's 2.76 xG — their late breakthrough was a matter of probability, not luck.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 18Tiago Volpi
- 23Agustin Sant Anna
- 14Pedro Henrique
- 16Gustavo Marques
- 29Juninho Capixaba
- 7Eric Ramires
- 20Rodriguinho
- 32José Herrera
- 21Lucas Barbosa
- 17Vinicinho
- 9Isidro Pitta
- Henry Mosquera
- Fabinho
- Eduardo Sasha
- Yuri Alves de Aquino
- Gustavo Neves
- Cleiton
- Guzmán Rodríguez
- Alix Vinicius
- José Andrés Hurtado
- Matheus Fernandes
- Gabriel Girotto
- Ignacio Sosa
- 1Weverton
- 27Diego Caito
- 82Wallace
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 23Marlon
- 8Erick Noriega
- 21Tetê
- 20Mathias Villasanti
- 10Filip Krovinović
- 9Francis Amuzu
- 22Martin Braithwaite
- Cristian Pavón
- Jovane Cabral
- Carlos Vinícius
- Danilo Barbosa
- Gabriel Grando
- Fabián Balbuena
- Marcos Rocha
- Pedro Gabriel
- Luis Guedes
- Gabriel Mec
- José Enamorado
- Matheus Nascimento

