Analysis The numbers behind the result
Bahia's clinical edge trumps Bragantino's shot volume
Despite RB Bragantino edging possession (51%) and outshooting Bahia 24-11 (including a lopsided 12-3 advantage in shots from outside the box), Bahia's razor-sharp attacking execution saw them claim a deserved 3-2 away win. While Lucas Henrique Barbosa's 14th-minute opener showcased Bragantino's early dominance, Bahia's retaliation was ruthlessly efficient: Luciano's 34th-minute penalty and Alejo Veliz's 38th-minute strike (assisted by Rodrigo Nestor) swiftly overturned the lead before an own goal gifted Bragantino a brief lifeline. Erick Luis sealed the win early in the second half (50'), capitalising on another Nestor assist.
The underlying numbers reveal Bahia's superior shot quality: they matched Bragantino's 10 shots inside the box despite 49% possession and registered 5 shots on target from just 11 total attempts, compared to Bragantino's 10 on target from 24. Rodrigo Nestor's two assists were pivotal in Bahia converting sporadic attacks into three decisive goals. Ultimately, Bahia's 50% shot-on-target accuracy (5/11) to Bragantino's 41.7% (10/24) was the defining metric.

