Analysis The numbers behind the result
El Geish defy xG with clinical finishing despite Petrojet's possession
El Geish's 3-2 victory flattered their performance, with an xG of just 0.29 compared to Petrojet's 1.13. Despite only 46% possession and 8 total shots (5 on target), El Geish converted three of their four shots inside the box. Goals came from Karim Tarek (19'), Islam Mohareb (43'), and Mohamed Atef (48'), with Atef also assisting twice. Petrojet dominated possession (54%) and created more chances (16 shots, 5 on target), but their 14 corners yielded little.
The decisive factor was El Geish's ruthless efficiency in front of goal. While Petrojet's Godwin Okwara (65') and Mostafa El-Badry (81') reduced the deficit, El Geish's early three-goal burst—all assisted from open play—proved unassailable. Despite Omar Radwan's 69th-minute red card, Petrojet's xG underperformance (5 shots on target, 1.13 xG) cost them. The stat that defined the match: El Geish scored 3 goals from 0.29 xG, outperforming their expected output by 2.71.