Analysis The numbers behind the result
Osasuna edge tight contest as Budimir penalty proves decisive
Osasuna’s 1-0 win was deserved based on expected goals (1.70 xG vs 0.65), though the narrow margin reflected a game of few clear chances. Despite having just 45% possession, Osasuna created higher-quality opportunities, landing 4 shots inside the box compared to Getafe’s 7, but with superior precision (2 on target vs Getafe’s 1). Ante Budimir’s penalty just before halftime (45+2’) separated the sides, capitalizing on one of only 3 shots Getafe conceded inside their box all game.
Getafe’s 55% possession yielded volume (11 total shots) but lacked cutting edge, with only 0.65 xG from their 7 attempts inside the area. Their disallowed Enes Ünal goal (52’) summed up their frustration. Osasuna’s defensive discipline told, making 17 fouls and earning 5 yellow cards to disrupt Getafe’s rhythm. The decisive stat was shot quality: Osasuna’s 1.70 xG from 10 attempts (40% shot conversion rate) eclipsed Getafe’s 0.65 from 11.

