Match Centre

The 1-1 draw slightly favoured Mirassol on expected goals (1.32 vs 1.13), with the hosts creating better quality chances despite Sao Paulo's 55% possession. An early own goal from Sao Paulo's Rafael (7') handed Mirassol the lead, but Pedro Lima's 39th-minute strike, assisted by Damian Bobadilla, levelled against the run of play.

Mirassol's territorial dominance was evident in their 18 total shots (15 inside the box) to Sao Paulo's 14, though both sides registered just 4 shots on target. The hosts' higher xG reflected superior chance creation (7 corners to Sao Paulo's 7), but their inability to convert (4 on target from 1.32 xG) proved costly. Sao Paulo's defensive blocks (5) and slightly more clinical finishing (3 on target from 1.13 xG) kept them in a game where they were out-shot.

The decisive metric was defensive errors: Sao Paulo conceded from their only major mistake (Rafael's own goal), while Mirassol's 10 off-target shots from promising positions (56% shot accuracy) underscored their wastefulness in a game they statistically edged.