Analysis The numbers behind the result
Mirassol edge Remo despite similar xG in tight contest
Mirassol's 2-1 victory over Remo was a fair reflection of the balance of play, with the hosts slightly outperforming their expected goals (1.47 xG vs 0.80 for Remo). The decisive moment came via an own goal from Remo's Marllon on 30 minutes, compounded by Joao Victor's 54th-minute strike assisted by Reinaldo — the latter being one of Mirassol's 4 shots on target from 8 total attempts. Despite Remo's higher shot volume (13 total, 2 on target), their lack of precision in the final third told, with only L. Picco's 45+1 minute effort finding the net.
Mirassol's 54% possession translated into superior chance creation, with 6 corners to Remo's 3 and 5 shots inside the box versus Remo's 7. The hosts' defensive discipline also showed, committing 15 fouls to disrupt Remo's rhythm, though this aggression earned them two yellow cards. Remo's 79% pass accuracy trailed Mirassol's 85%, highlighting the hosts' superior ball retention in key areas.
The key stat? Mirassol's 1.47 xG to Remo's 0.80 — a near-doubling of chance quality that justified the narrow margin, despite Remo's late flurry of substitutions attempting to change the game's trajectory.