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Match Centre

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18

Analysis The numbers behind the result

San Diego's dominance unrewarded despite superior xG

The 1-1 draw between Minnesota United FC and San Diego was a tale of contrasting efficiencies, with San Diego's higher expected goals (1.47 vs 0.92) failing to translate into three points. Minnesota struck early through Tomás Chancalay's 3rd-minute goal, but San Diego's penalty conversion by Anders Dreyer in the 64th minute ultimately reflected their control of proceedings.

San Diego dominated possession (68%) and outshot Minnesota 13 to 13 overall, but only 2 of their shots were on target compared to Minnesota's 8. Minnesota’s goalkeeper Drake Callender made just 1 save, while San Diego’s CJ Dos Santos was busier with 7. The penalty equaliser came after multiple substitutions from both sides in the 61st-65th minute window, highlighting how tactical changes influenced the game's flow.

The key stat explaining the draw is San Diego's 1.47 xG - significantly higher than Minnesota's 0.92 - yet only one of their 13 shots found the net. Despite controlling the game, San Diego lacked the cutting edge to turn territorial dominance into a victory.

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Match Timeline

3'T. Chancalay assist W. Trapp
60'🔁L. Bombino out K. Sargeant
60'🔁A. Mighten out D. Vazquez
61'🔁Gabriel Pirani out A. Alvarado Jr
64'A. Dreyer
64'🟨A. Dreyer
64'🟨D. Callender
65'🔁D. Padelford out A. Markanich
65'🔁K. Yeboah out M. Dieng
80'🔁M. Gonzalez out T. Chancalay
80'🔁B. Hlongwane out K. Duncan
83'🔁A. Godoy out O. Valakari

Formations

Minnesota United FC · 5-4-1San Diego · 4-3-3
12Callender13Markanich23Duggan15Boxall28Díaz3Duncan8Chancalay30Gene20Trapp26Pereyra29Dieng1Santos5Sargeant26Duah97McVey3Þórhallsson8Valakari6Tverskov70Jr19Vazquez7Ingvartsen10Dreyer

Team Stats

Minnesota United FCSan Diego

Possession

32%68%

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92xG1.47
13Shots13
8On target2
8Corners4
8Fouls3
274Accurate passes653
1Yellow cards1

Line-ups

Minnesota United FC5-4-1
Coach: Cameron Knowles
  • 12Drake Callender
  • 3Kyle Duncan
  • 28Jefferson Díaz
  • 15Michael Boxall
  • 23Morris Duggan
  • 13Anthony Markanich
  • 26Joaquín Pereyra
  • 20Wil Trapp
  • 30Owen Gene
  • 8Tomás Chancalay
  • 29Mamadou Dieng
Substitutes
  • Devin Padelford
  • Kelvin Yeboah
  • Mauricio González
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane
  • Alec Smir
  • Julian Gressel
  • Carlos Harvey
  • Dominik Fitz
  • Marcus Caldeira
San Diego4-3-3
Coach: Mikey Varas
  • 1CJ Dos Santos
  • 3Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
  • 97Christopher McVey
  • 26Manu Duah
  • 5Kieran Sargeant
  • 70Alejandro Alvarado Jr
  • 6Jeppe Tverskov
  • 8Onni Valakari
  • 10Anders Dreyer
  • 7Marcus Ingvartsen
  • 19David Vazquez
Substitutes
  • Luca Bombino
  • Gabriel Pirani
  • Alex Mighten
  • Aníbal Godoy
  • Duran Ferree
  • Oscar Verhoeven
  • Ian Pilcher
  • Lewis Morgan
  • Bryan Zamblé
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