Analysis The numbers behind the result
Atlas edge 10-man Leon despite late fightback
Atlas deserved their narrow victory, outperforming Leon in expected goals (1.72 vs 1.23) despite playing against 10 men for over half the match after Diber Cambindo's 42nd-minute red card. The visitors were more clinical, converting three of their seven shots on target compared to Leon's two from eight, with Aldo Rocha's 73rd-minute penalty proving decisive after Arturo Gonzalez (50') had restored their lead following Cambindo's early equaliser (27').
Leon's numerical disadvantage told in possession (46% vs 54%) and shot volume (16 vs 9), though they created higher-quality chances late on — Cortizo's 77th-minute strike came from one of their nine shots outside the box. Atlas' efficiency in the final third was key, with Gonzalez and Duk (2') scoring from their only two first-half shots on target. The xG gap (0.49) ultimately reflected Atlas' superior chance quality despite Leon's spirited response.