Analysis The numbers behind the result
Lanus edge tight contest with superior shot volume and xG
Lanus' 1-0 victory was justified by the underlying numbers, with their 1.53 xG comfortably exceeding San Lorenzo's 0.83. Despite equal 50% possession shares, Lanus generated significantly more threat — their 22 total shots (9 on target) dwarfed San Lorenzo's 12 (5 on target), while 8 corners to 2 further highlighted their attacking dominance. Yoshan Valois' 65th-minute winner, assisted by substitute Diego Aquino, proved the decisive moment in a game where both goalkeepers performed well (9 saves for Gill, 5 for Losada).
Tactically, Lanus turned territorial advantage into clearer chances, with 16 of their 22 shots coming inside the box compared to San Lorenzo's 7. The hosts' higher pass accuracy (81% vs 78%) and greater willingness to shoot from distance (6 outside-box attempts to 5) kept constant pressure on a San Lorenzo side who collected three first-half yellow cards. The visitors' xG of just 0.83 — with no blocked shots all game — underscores their lack of cutting edge.
The key stat: Lanus' 1.53 xG versus San Lorenzo's 0.83 — a near-doubling of chance quality that made the narrow scoreline somewhat flattering to the visitors.