Analysis The numbers behind the result
Independiente clinical despite Lanus' shot volume
The scoreline slightly flattered Independiente, with Lanus marginally outperforming their xG (1.87 vs 1 goal) while the visitors were ruthlessly efficient (3 goals from 1.16 xG). Lanus dominated possession (52%) and outshot Independiente 21 to 14, but only 6 of those were on target compared to Independiente's 4. The visitors were decisive in key moments, particularly Lautaro Millán, who scored twice in the first half (37', 47') to give Independiente control before Allan Wlk's 50th-minute reply briefly threatened a comeback.
Lanus' 10 corners and 1.87 xG show they created chances, but Independiente's defence held firm (5 saves, 4 blocked shots) before Matías Gutiérrez's 94th-minute strike sealed it. Lanus' mounting frustration was epitomised by Ramiro Carrera's red card in stoppage time, but the decisive factor was Independiente converting 62.5% of their shots on target into goals while Lanus managed just 16.7%.