Analysis The numbers behind the result
Kyoto Sanga cling to draw despite Kashima dominance
The 2-2 draw flattered Kyoto Sanga, who were comprehensively outplayed by Kashima. The visitors had an xG of 1.39 to Kyoto's paltry 0.37, underscoring their superiority in chance creation. Kashima dominated possession (73%) and relentlessly peppered Kyoto's goal with 19 shots, 11 of which were on target. Kyoto, in contrast, managed just 3 shots on goal, all of which found the net thanks to Haruki Arai's clinical finishing—he scored both their goals in the 16th and 90+7th minutes.
Kashima's dominance was evident throughout, with José Élber Pimentel da Silva equalising in the 78th minute and Yuta Matsumura seemingly sealing the win in stoppage time before Kyoto's late heroics. Despite their wasteful finishing, Kashima's ability to create high-quality chances (16 shots inside the box) highlighted their control of the game. Kyoto's resistance was admirable but unsustainable, and Kashima's inability to convert their superiority into a win was the decisive factor.
The result was ultimately defined by Kashima's profligacy—they underperformed their xG by 0.61, while Kyoto overperformed theirs by 1.63, a stark illustration of how goalkeeping heroics (9 saves by Kyoto's Halls) and clinical finishing skewed the scoreline.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 90Halls
- 40Y. Ishida
- 50Y. Suzuki
- 15K. Nagata
- 44K. Sato
- 25Yoon Sung-Jun
- 24H. Morooka
- 62T. Shichi
- 48R. Nakano
- 77H. Arai
- 17Alex Negueba
- T. Hiraoka
- F. Honda
- João Pedro
- T. Kato
- Marco Túlio
- G. Ota
- H. Tawiah
- Weverton
- R. Yamanaka
- 1T. Hayakawa
- 23K. Tsukui
- 55N. Ueda
- 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
- 7R. Ogawa
- 30M. Yoshida
- 6K. Misao
- 8Matheus Bueno
- 27Y. Matsumura
- 40Y. Suzuki
- 9Léo Ceará
- A. Čavrić
- Élber
- H. Hayashu
- Y. Higuchi
- R. Koike
- I. Sekigawa
- G. Shibasaki
- H. Tokuda
- T. Yamada

