Analysis The numbers behind the result
Kocaelispor clinical in low-chance game as Amed waste possession
Kocaelispor's 2-0 victory was justified by superior chance quality, outperforming their 1.31 xG while limiting Amed to just 0.64 xG despite the visitors' 56% possession. The hosts converted 27% of their 11 total shots (3 on target) compared to Amed's meager 8% conversion from 12 attempts, with just 1 on target - a clinical edge underscored by their higher shot accuracy (27% on-target rate vs 8%).
Amed's possession dominance (56%, 467 passes) failed to translate into clear chances, with 6 of their 12 shots blocked and only 1 testing the keeper. Berkan Kutlu's 16th-minute opener (assisted by Dijksteel) and Muammer Maglica's 87th-minute strike (assisted by Yildiz) proved decisive, both coming from Kocaelispor's 7 shots inside the box versus Amed's 6. The visitors' frustration showed in their 16 fouls and 2 yellow cards.
The telling stat: Amed generated just 0.05 xG per shot compared to Kocaelispor's 0.12, highlighting the hosts' superior shot selection in a game where both teams underperformed their goalkeepers' goals prevented (-1.20 each).