Analysis The numbers behind the result
Kasımpaşa's higher xG justifies draw despite Trabzonspor's possession
The 1-1 draw was a fair reflection of play, with Kasımpaşa's superior expected goals (1.70 vs 0.79) balancing Trabzonspor's territorial dominance (59% possession). Despite conceding more shots (13 vs 9) and corners (10 vs 3), Kasımpaşa created higher-quality chances, converting a 55th-minute penalty through Adrian Benedyczak after Noah Saviolo's 43rd-minute opener for Trabzonspor.
Trabzonspor's possession (86% pass accuracy) didn't translate into clear-cut opportunities, managing just 0.79 xG from 13 shots. Kasımpaşa, though less tidy in build-up (78% pass accuracy), were more efficient, with 5 of their 9 shots coming inside the box. The key difference was Kasımpaşa's penalty, contributing 0.76 xG alone — without it, their xG drops to 0.94, still outperforming Trabzonspor's output. The decisive stat: Kasımpaşa's 1.70 xG, nearly double their opponents', underlining their clinical edge in limited openings.