Analysis The numbers behind the result
Motherwell edge Hibs with clinical finishing despite lower xG
Motherwell's 2-1 victory slightly outperformed their expected goals (1.95 xG vs 2 actual), while Hibernian's higher chance creation (1.84 xG, 17 total shots) went unrewarded. Despite near-even possession (52%-48%) and fewer shots (8 vs 17), Motherwell converted key moments: Lukas Fadinger's 40th-minute penalty and Ibrahim Said's 85th-minute winner from open play, assisted by Dylan Williams.
Hibs dominated territorially (9 corners to 2) and tested the keeper more (6 shots on target vs 4), but were punished for inefficiency. Martin Boyle's 56th-minute penalty briefly levelled the tie, but defensive laxity cost them late. Both goalkeepers made crucial interventions (3 saves apiece), but Motherwell's 90% pass accuracy (vs Hibs' 86%) helped them control phases of play despite the shot deficit.
The decider: Motherwell's superior big-chance conversion, with both their on-target shots from inside the box finding the net.