Analysis The numbers behind the result
PEC Zwolle clinical despite Heerenveen's dominance
The result flattered PEC Zwolle, with Heerenveen creating more chances (14 shots, 0.76 xG) but failing to convert, while Zwolle were clinical with 2 goals from just 9 shots and 0.85 xG. Heerenveen controlled possession (62%) but struggled to turn their dominance into quality opportunities, with only 4 shots on target — wasted entirely by Zwolle's Jasper Schendelaar, who made 4 saves.
Zwolle's efficiency in transition proved decisive, with Dylan Mbayo assisting both goals: first tapping in Nick Viergever’s opener (50'), then setting up Koen Kostons (61') for the winner. Kostons' goal was particularly pivotal, coming just 11 minutes after Zwolle's first — and highlighting Heerenveen's defensive frailty. A disallowed Viergever goal (82') meant Zwolle could have won more comfortably, but Heerenveen's inability to convert their chances (41% shot conversion vs Zwolle's 22%) ultimately cost them.
The key stat: Zwolle scored 2 goals from just 0.85 xG — a clinical edge that made the difference as Heerenveen failed to capitalise on their superiority.