Analysis The numbers behind the result
Gremio edge xG battle but Fluminense hold firm
The 1-1 draw was a fair reflection of the balance of play, with Gremio's higher xG (0.49 vs 0.10) offset by Fluminense's penalty conversion. Despite having just 44% possession, Gremio created better chances — their six shots (two on target) doubled Fluminense's output, with four coming inside the box versus the visitors' solitary effort.
Fluminense's disciplined defensive shape (89% pass accuracy, five fouls conceded) limited clear-cut opportunities until Hulk's 65th-minute penalty against the run of play. Gremio's persistence paid off when Diego Caito struck late (89'), assisted by J. Cabral — their only shot on target from open play. The hosts' 0.20 goals prevented metric shows their keeper was rarely tested beyond the penalty.
The decisive stat: Gremio's 0.49 xG from just six shots highlights their superior chance quality in a game where Fluminense's sole shot on target was their converted penalty.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 12Gabriel Grando
- 7Cristian Pavón
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 4Walter Kannemann
- 23Marlon
- 19Erick Noriega
- 21Tetê
- 20Mathias Villasanti
- 5Juan Nardoni
- 9Francis Amuzu
- 95Carlos Vinícius
- Thiago Beltrame
- Pedro Gabriel
- Diego Caito
- Luis Guedes
- Wagner Leonardo
- Gabriel Mec
- Riquelme Freitas
- Dodi
- José Enamorado
- Martin Braithwaite
- Matheus Nascimento
- Jovane Cabral
- 1Fábio
- 23Guga
- 3Thiago Silva
- 22Juan Pablo Freytes
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 8Martinelli
- 35Hércules
- 90Kevin Serna
- 32Luciano Acosta
- 17Agustín Canobbio
- 7Hulk
- Renê
- Marcelo Pitaluga
- Samuel Xavier
- Igor Rabello
- Ignácio
- Júlio Fidelis
- Otávio
- Riquelme Felipe
- Yeferson Soteldo
- Ganso
- Nonato
- Germán Cano
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