Analysis The numbers behind the result
Newells dominate stats but Gimnasia edge narrow win
The result flatters Gimnasia, who secured a 1-0 win despite being comprehensively outplayed statistically. Newells Old Boys' xG of 2.38 dwarfed Gimnasia's 0.37, indicating they created significantly better chances. Gimnasia managed just 2 shots on target from 9 attempts, while Newells forced 14 shots, with 1 on target and 11 inside the box, reflecting their territorial dominance.
Newells' 61% possession translated into sustained pressure, earning them 7 corners to Gimnasia's solitary one. They also showed more attacking intent, committing just 10 offsides to Gimnasia's 0. However, their inability to convert chances proved costly, with Agustín Módica's 58th-minute goal, assisted by Matías Vargas, ultimately deciding the game.
The single stat that best explains the outcome is Newells' xG of 2.38, which shows their superior chance creation, contrasted with their failure to convert those opportunities. Gimnasia's clinical edge, despite being second-best for much of the game, secured them the points.