Analysis The numbers behind the result
Napoli defy low xG with clinical late double
Napoli’s 2-0 win flattered them on the balance of play, as their expected goals (xG) of just 0.10 was dwarfed by Genoa’s 0.58. The hosts mustered nine total shots, six inside the box, compared to Napoli’s five efforts, all from outside the area. Despite Genoa’s superior chance creation, Napoli’s clinical edge proved decisive.
Kevin De Bruyne and Alexis Vergara were the architects of Napoli’s late surge, combining twice in the final 10 minutes. De Bruyne first fired home in the 82nd minute, assisted by Vergara, before returning the favour five minutes later, teeing up Vergara’s strike. Napoli’s ability to capitalise on limited opportunities starkly contrasted with Genoa’s inefficiency in front of goal, where they managed just two shots on target despite controlling 52% of possession.
The decisive stat was Napoli’s clinical finishing ratio, converting two of their five shots, compared to Genoa’s failure to score from six shots inside the box. Napoli’s xG underperformance highlights their reliance on individual quality over sustained attacking pressure.