Analysis The numbers behind the result
Rizespor edge Gaziantep despite lower possession
The result was a fair reflection of the balance of play, with Rizespor's superior efficiency in attack proving decisive. Despite Gaziantep FK dominating possession (56% to 44%) and creating more total shots (16 to 10), Rizespor were more clinical, converting their chances into two goals from an xG of 0.93, compared to Gaziantep's solitary strike from an xG of 0.80. Rizespor's goals came in the 12th and 35th minutes, with Emrecan Bulut opening the scoring and Ali Sowe doubling the lead, assisted by Bulut.
Gaziantep FK struggled to break down Rizespor's defence despite their higher possession and eight corners. Their lone goal came in stoppage time via an own goal by Zakaria Ariss, highlighting their inability to capitalise on their attacking dominance. Rizespor's defensive discipline and ability to convert opportunities at key moments were the defining factors.
The single stat that best explains the outcome is Rizespor's superior xG efficiency, with 0.93 compared to Gaziantep's 0.80, underscoring their effectiveness in front of goal despite fewer chances.