Analysis The numbers behind the result
Cambuur dominate xG but Fortuna punish profligacy
Fortuna Sittard's 3-1 win flattered them on the balance of play, with Cambuur amassing a superior xG (2.53) to Fortuna's 1.35. The visitors' 64% possession yielded 19 total shots (16 inside the box) to Fortuna's 17, yet Danny Buijs' side executed their early chances ruthlessly. Brittijn (6') and Zeefuik (15') punished Cambuur's sloppy start before El Arguioui's reply (22%) cut the lead – all three first-half goals coming from open play.
Cambuur's control wasn't reflected in their shot quality – 7 shots on target matched Fortuna but with significantly higher xG, exposing wastefulness in crucial moments. Zand's 96th-minute strike (assisted by Pinto) sealed a scoreline disconnected from the expected goals. Fortuna's compact 3-4-2-1 limited Cambuur to just 3 shots from outside the box, their clinical edge the decisive factor in an otherwise lopsided contest.