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Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Analysis The numbers behind the result

Fluminense's late surge masks wasteful finishing against 10-man Bragantino

The 1-1 draw slightly flatters RB Bragantino, who were outshot 25-6 and conceded a 94th-minute equaliser despite playing with 10 men for 30 minutes. Fluminense's 1.56 xG to Bragantino's 0.89 reflects their dominance, but only 4 of their 25 shots hit the target. Eduardo Sasha's 27th-minute opener for Bragantino (assisted by J. Herrera) came against the run of play, with the visitors managing just 33% possession and 2 shots on target all game.

Fluminense's 67% possession and 11 corners yielded only 14 shots inside the box, with Ignacio's stoppage-time strike (assisted by A. Canobbio) salvaging a point. The game turned on A. Sant'Anna's 64th-minute red card, which allowed Fluminense to ramp up pressure — they attempted 13 shots after the dismissal. The decisive stat: Fluminense underperformed their xG by 0.56, while Bragantino overperformed by 0.11, highlighting the hosts' profligacy.

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